Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Google's Android will surpass Windows in 2016

International Data Corporation (IDC) is a market research and analysis firm specializing in information technology, telecommunications and consumer technology. According to a report by analysts from this company, phones and tablets who are runned by Google's Android, by 2016., will surpass the devices who have Windows operating system.

More than 90 percent of personal computers in the world still are run by Windows, but the entire technology in general is changing. By 2016. the leading Microsoft's market share of 35.9%will fall to 25.1%.

Devices powered by Android will grow during this time from 29.4% to 31.1%.

Microsoft intends this year to release "tablet friendly" version of Windows - Windows 8. Nevertheless, IDC still predicts "dramatic shift" toward devices powered by Android.

"IDC expects a relatively dramatic shift between the 2011 and 2016, with a dominant Windows who is leading with 35.9% share in 2011, going down to 25.1%", analysts predict.

The number of Android devices that run on ARM processors should grow modestly, from 29.4% in 2011, to leading 31.1% share in 2016.

In the meantime, Apple iOS devices will grow from 14.6% in 2011, to 17.3% in 2016.

Last year, 916 million smart phones, tablets and PCs were shipped worldwide.

By 2016 this figure will be doubled to 1.84 billion units.

"The growth of the devices is directly connected with the lower prices of the devices," said Tom Mainelli, Director of Research at Mobile Connected Devices.

The numbers grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15.4%.

In addition, the number of people who use multiple devices in the future will only continue to grow, and that really is a great danger for the good old PC.

In many parts of the world, for example in Asia, it can be expected that the primary connection to the Internet, will be over smart phone, not via computer.

I'm not sure this predictions will be 100% true, but one things for sure, Windows share in the next few years will reduce, and the Android's will increase.